Thursday, April 13, 2006

 

Lt. Gov Poll Shows Holt Out In Front

In a recent poll conducted by Survey USA for the Arkansas Times on the status of the Lt. Governor race, the results surprised many pundits. Most found that Jim Holt was leading the pack in the Republican Primary the most surprising.

2,000 Arkansas adults were interviewed 4/8/06 - 4/10/06. Of them, 1,634 were registered voters. Of them, 799 were judged to be "likely voters". Of them, 446 chose a Democratic ballot and 353 chose a Republican ballot. Crosstabs reflect Likely Primary voters.

Asked of 446 Likely Democratic Primary Voters (margin of error ± 4.7%)

If the Democratic Primary for Lt. Governor were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Bill Halter? Mike Hathorn? Jay Martin? Or Tim Wooldridge?

Could it be that Bill Halter gained the name recognition needed during his short-lived run for Governor? That's one way to get a foot up on the competition.

Asked of 353 Likely Republican Primary Voters (margin of error ± 5.2%)

If the Republican Primary for Lt. Governor were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Chuck Banks? Jim Holt? Or Doug Matayo?


The fact that Jim Holt is polling so high does not surprise me. Jim faired far better that the "experts" said he would against Madam Lincoln in 2004 and I believe he will do so again.

If you stop and look at his core issues, they poll very high throughout Arkansas. Taditional marraige, voluntary prayer in school, pro-life, and stict constitutionalism are all important to voters in Arkansas. When one considers that most Arkansans are conservative leaning, regardless of party affiliation, it is easy to understand why Jim Holt out paces his opponents and the pundits.

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