Monday, November 06, 2006

 

Final Predictions

I last made predictions in August on the statewide elections. Well, here are the old predictions with my updated prognostications. (My latest picks are in italics.)

Governor: Asa Hutchinson by 8 points. Asa by 6
Mike Beebe has been inconsistant with his message. The Arkansas Dem-Gaz has commented on several occassions about inaccuracies and flaws in Beebe's statements. Asa's team has been consistant on pointing out the Beebe mistakes while staying on message. It doesn't hurt to have one of the best grassroot campaigners in Arkansas history running just down the ticket.

Lt. Governor: Jim Holt by 12 points. Jim Holt by 8
Jim's steady pace, grassroots campaigning and a solid Republican ticket will serve him well. While Bill Halter may have more money to spend (mostly his own), he is not gaining traction on his message. Jim has proven in the past that money is not the sole ingrediant to a strong campaign.

Attorney General: Gunner Delay by 21 points. Gunner Delay by 12
Gunner has found a solid message for which Dustin McDaniel has now legitimate answer. Gunner has a likable personality that does not exude the negatives which people associate with lawyers. Dustin's record with Remington Arms paints a picture of an opportunist. That will turn the voters off. That and people don't like the government messing with their firearms. Something about the 2nd Amendment and all that.

Secretary of State: Toss Up Jim Lagrone by 4
I am leaning towards Jim Lagrone on this one. I don't believe Charlie Daniels can recover from the ES&S fiasco. And Jim is doing all he can to insure that. Lagrone clean background shines when compared to Daniels and the cronyism in his background.

State Treasurer: No Call No Call
There has been little to reference to either candidate in this race. Neither has taken the point on the trail to Little Rock. This race may come down to which party gets the most voters out. It is interesting to note that this race pits an African-American (R) against a woman (D). This should put all of the political scientists in the state in a tizzy.


Somethings are better left unsaid, but the Republicans are facing "the gang that couldn't shoot straight" this year. Despite the media fury to elect their own, Beebe, Halter, Daniels, and McDaniel can't help putting their feet in their collective mouths. Whereas, they may have faired better if they had just shut up.

Comments:
HAHA. sure. you are ridiculous. You really think that no Dem will win statewide office this year?

i think Ill just let todays results speak for your political acumen.

After today, you should close your blog down, cause you will get all of your "predictions" completely wrong.
 
I too vote for shutting this inane blog down. Its funny, the only Republican not predicted to win was a black man.
That's speaks to really what the Republican Party in Arkansas is about.
 
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