Friday, April 14, 2006

 

Clinton vs. McCain? I Think Not. Update

Original Post 4/14/2006

There has been a lot of talk about the possibility of a Hillary Clinton and John McCain matchup in the '08 race for the White House. Many of the pundits believe this is all but a given. Of course most of those pundits claimed Dr. Demento... er... Dean had the nomination in 2004, so no sense in looking at them for good prognostications.

I will go on record here and now and say, "Hillary will not be the Democratic nominee." Oh that she were. That would guarantee a Republican victory. Her problem is her highness is despised by the conservative Democrats and not trusted by the moderates in the party. With her moves to the center of late, she risks alienating the left wing of her party.

Here's what happens: John Kerry jumps into the race and moves quickly to the left of Hillary. Not to be out done, her highness steers hard left to make up the lost ground. As the two best known liberals, and a few lesser knowns, split the California nut vote, New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson collects the moderate and conservative Democrats, as well as a few liberals. Richardson WILL win the Democratic nomination in 2008.

The Republican race is wide open. Granted, the odds on favorite is Sen. John McCain. However, party loyalists have taken to calling him Benedict McCain because of his penchant to stab his own party in the back. I'm not sure that Sen. Frist has what it takes to win the nomination either. He's a good man and all that, but he just doesn't appear to have the political stamina to win. Rumors of Gov. Mike Huckabee becoming the next "Dope from Hope" will prove to be unfounded as well. It is my belief he is maneuvering to become the next Senator from Arkansas.

That leaves Condi Rice. Yes, she says she is not running. Yes, she says she is flattered by the talk. Yes, she is saying all of the right things to make others beg for her to run. Out of those that have poked their head up to look at the political landscape, Condi is the only "real" A-lister. If the Republicans do not run a true A-list candidate, Richardson will clean their proverbial clocks.

The election is two and a half years away. A million things could happen between now and then. With all of the uncertainty, I will only commit on two things at this point. 1) Hillary will not represent the Dems in 2008 and 2) the Republicans will commit suicide if McCain represents them.

Update:

Arkansas columnist John Brummet still claims that Hillary will be the Democratic nominee for President. He goes on to claim that Gov. Huckabee will be the running mate with supposed Republican Presidential nominee John McCain.

As to Ms. Rodham - er - Hillary Clinton, some interesting tidbits to support my theory that Clinton will NOT win the Democratic ticket.

- http://www.wnbc.com/politics/9239941/detail.html
Susan Sarandon, one of Hollywood's most outspoken liberals, has endorsed Hillary Clinton's opponent in Sen. Clinton's re-election bid. Sorry Hillary, the rats are jumping ship. You may want to reconsider that run for President.

- Columnist and Democratic consultant to failed nominee Michael Dukakis, Susan Estrich writes, "I think that Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, soon-to-be second-term senator from New York, centrist Democrat, strong on security, tough, moderate, family values, middle-aged, qualified, managed by Bill Clinton, is the next president of the United States." Calling Hillary a "Centrist Democrat" is akin to calling Joe Stalin a moderate Communist. But, stating that she is strong on family values is outrageous. Hillary's choice for the Supreme Court was Ruth Bader Ginsburg. Ms. Ginsburg was a lawyer for the ACLU that supported children's rights to sue their parents and provide condoms in the classroom. Hillary's book, It Takes A Village, was nothing more than a diatribe against family values and in favor of government control of how parents raise their children.

- The Financial Times reports that Conservative Rupert Murdoch is planning on holding a fund raiser for Ms. Clinton in July (http://news.ft.com/cms/s/61faabde-deb8-11da-acee-0000779e2340.html). This is surely too much for the liberal elite to suffer. Expect the Betty Ford Center to be at maximum capacity after this event.

To sum this up, Sen. Clinton is too conservative for liberal activist/actress Susan Sarandon, a moderate with "family values" to consultant Susan Estrich, and hangs out with conservatives like Rupert Murdoch. This will split the Democratic Party into tiny pieces during their primary. If, and that's a big if, Al Gore does not get into the race, John Kerry has her liberal base split. Gov. Bill Richardson has the moderate and conservative democrats splitting with her. Now El Diablo, Tom Daschle, is making moves to get into the race. He will not be a serious contender, but he diversify the moderate vote even more. All told, Hillary will be lucky to get second place in the Democratic Primary.

 

Stop the Corruption

The following post first appeared on the Arkansas Watch blog.

Saturday, April 08, 2006

On Donations from People Your Office Does Business With
Much has been made, as it should be, of the fact that Attorney General Mike Bebee has accepted numerous and large donations from Entergy even though he is charged with regulating that industry in order to protect the people from excessive rate hikes. The Republican candidate to replace Mr. Bebee is Gunner DeLay, who has vowed not to take campaign contributions from the people he is supposed to be regulating.

Well it turns out the practice of taking campaign contributions from the people that your state office deals with is more widespread than just the AG's office. It also appears that Democratic Secretary of State Charlie Daniels takes contributions from an architectural firm that does work for his state office, such as the Capitol Dome itself. The Republican candidate for that office, Jim LaGrone, has vowed not to take campaign contributions from businesses that have contracts with his office.

posted by Mark Moore

This is an area that should receive more coverage. At a recent appearance by Gunner DeLay, Mr. DeLay spoke to a mixed crowd at a College Republicans meeting in Fort Smith about this very subject. Many students and teachers were taken aback by this revelation. Most thought there should be a law against such practices.

Perhaps candidates like Jim Lagrone, Gunner DeLay and others should propose that very type of legislation. They should push this hard throughout the campaign. I believe most people do not realize Beebe and Daniels are doing this. This is the very foundation of corrupt politics and it should be brought to an end. Jim and Gunner are just the type of individuals that can bring this about.

Thursday, April 13, 2006

 

Ark. Legislature Notes UAFS Basketball Achievement

Found @ http://www.uafortsmith.edu/News/Index?skin=&storyid=1430

Fort Smith Republican Jim Medley led the way in a bi-partisan resolution honoring UA Fort Smith's Men's Basketball team and head coach Jeremy Cox for winning the Junior College National Championship. All local representatives of both political stripes joined in to sing their praises. State Senator Denny Altes led the way on the senate side.

"Most of the representatives did not even know that UA Fort Smith had won the national championship," Medley said. "After it passed they got a standing ovation."

"It's wonderful to have our institution and the men's basketball coaches and players honored by the General Assembly," Dr. Sandi Sanders, interim chancellor at UA Fort Smith, said. "We appreciate the leadership, friendship and support of our area legislators and especially that of Senator Altes and Representative Medley for their individual sponsorship of the Resolutions."

The Sniper wants to add his two cents of congrats as well.
Well done to :

Also, great work to coaches:

Everyone in Arkansas should stand up and applaud the UA Fort Smith Lions for representing Arkansas, Fort Smith, and the university well - both on and off the court.


 

Lt. Gov Poll Shows Holt Out In Front

In a recent poll conducted by Survey USA for the Arkansas Times on the status of the Lt. Governor race, the results surprised many pundits. Most found that Jim Holt was leading the pack in the Republican Primary the most surprising.

2,000 Arkansas adults were interviewed 4/8/06 - 4/10/06. Of them, 1,634 were registered voters. Of them, 799 were judged to be "likely voters". Of them, 446 chose a Democratic ballot and 353 chose a Republican ballot. Crosstabs reflect Likely Primary voters.

Asked of 446 Likely Democratic Primary Voters (margin of error ± 4.7%)

If the Democratic Primary for Lt. Governor were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Bill Halter? Mike Hathorn? Jay Martin? Or Tim Wooldridge?

Could it be that Bill Halter gained the name recognition needed during his short-lived run for Governor? That's one way to get a foot up on the competition.

Asked of 353 Likely Republican Primary Voters (margin of error ± 5.2%)

If the Republican Primary for Lt. Governor were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Chuck Banks? Jim Holt? Or Doug Matayo?


The fact that Jim Holt is polling so high does not surprise me. Jim faired far better that the "experts" said he would against Madam Lincoln in 2004 and I believe he will do so again.

If you stop and look at his core issues, they poll very high throughout Arkansas. Taditional marraige, voluntary prayer in school, pro-life, and stict constitutionalism are all important to voters in Arkansas. When one considers that most Arkansans are conservative leaning, regardless of party affiliation, it is easy to understand why Jim Holt out paces his opponents and the pundits.

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